Saturday, 20 February 2021

 

Donald Trump’s Sincerity




                               former U.S. president, Donald Trump (via Wikipedia) 



Donald Trump’s Sincerity

 

Today’s post is a stretch, I admit, but it presents a modest, but real, claim.

I wanted to point out today something about events in 1945 and then relate those events to events in present times.

I will start by summing up some things about Adolph Hitler’s final days and hours. Hitler started his whole campaign to become dictator of Germany, and then to expand Germany’s “living space” (“lebensraum”, in German), by basing his plans on his vision of how history works. He believed he had discovered that history only moves forward by warfare. Struggle between nations. He claimed, for example, that “mankind has grown strong through eternal struggles, and it will only perish through eternal peace.” And he sincerely believed that his model of how history worked was as correct and exactly accurate as was Darwin’s Theory of Evolution about Biology. “Races” (his term) must struggle and fight or they do not survive. In fact, any tribe that is reluctant to fight wars, or that loses a war, deserves to die out. 

As I have said before in this space, Hitler’s theories about “races” of humankind are nonsensical to real students of Genetics. Humans are all members of one species. The amount we humans differ genetically from so-called “race” to “race” is less than 1/10 of 1% of our total genetic code. There is no “Aryan” race. In fact, in the real science of Genetics, there are no “races” at all. Not from Europe to Africa to the Far East to the Americas before Europeans came to the New World. Some people in all those places may have talked as if the term “race” made sense, but it simply doesn’t. The term, for modern science, is empty.

Why does this matter? Because in his final days and hours in a concrete-hardened bunker in Berlin, Hitler kept raving about a rescue army that was going to save Berlin, himself, and the Reich from the Russian troops that were closing in. There was no such army. Then, at the very last, he raved that the Germans should go down in a sea of blood and fire because that was what they deserved. They had lost this colossal struggle to another “race”, which, in his eyes, was the Russians – who, by the way, really were mainly responsible for the breaking of the power of the German war machine. (Look up the casualty stats.) In the laboratory of history, Hitler believed, the Germans had proved weaker than the Russians, and, thus, the Germans deserved to die out. He even wanted Albert Speer, his most essential minister of War, the economy, etc. to order German troops still fighting in parts of Germany to destroy infra-structure like bridges, electricity grids, water purification plants, and so on. Go down in a sea of blood. Like the heroes in his favorite operas by Wagner. At least the Germans would go out in a blaze of glory. This, by the way, Speer did not do. Much of Germany’s infrastructure was destroyed, by the invading Allies and by some German units, but at least some was saved. The important thing to see is that Speer could imagine a world in which a defeated Germany was prostrate before its enemies and somehow survived. Hitler couldn’t.

I have to grudgingly respect Hitler’s sincerity. At least on the surface, he stuck by his original vision of history and how it works. He found out that Speer had not issued the orders that he had told Speer to issue, and he did not punish Speer. He just shut up about the matter in his final hours. He apparently chose to let Speer off for disobeying direct orders. But he never took back his words – maintained in public and in private for nearly two decades by this point – about his model of history and what the German people deserved. In short, he had a kind of grotesque sincerity.

Why this matters today is that I don’t think a lot of people in the world, and especially in the US right now, get that in his warped way, Donald Trump is sincere. I think he really believes that somehow, by some trick those dirty Democrats pulled – a trick that has proved too subtle for his people to detect – the election really was stolen from him. There must – must – must be a fraud in there somewhere. He could not possibly lose that election to the man that he, for a long time called, “Slow Joe”. Trump, in his own eyes, is so much handsomer and so much more charismatic and savvy about the “art of the deal” that there must be a trick in there somewhere. Or so he believes. He couldn’t really l – l – l - lose. How he loathes that word! So much so that in his universe it can’t ever really be applied to him. So much so that, in his view, losing that election is an impossibility under the laws by which -- he believes -- the world functions.

He’s wrong, of course. The results were checked and checked, again and again. Tested in several different courts. In addition, it is worth pointing out that a conspiracy of multiple traitors who could manage to gather/create the so-called “fraudulent” results would be impossible to sustain. Any such conspiracy would have to involve thousands and thousands of conspirators – so many in on the scam – election officials in multiple states, judges, etc., many of whom he appointed. In a conspiracy that large and complicated, someone would blab, probably within a few hours, or at most a few days. No documents support his election fraud theory either. No witnesses in any position to make such a call have ever said the words he so desperately longs to hear. No documents support his version of events, and they have been painstakingly searched for.

Like Hitler in his final days, Trump was, and is, delusional. A solid majority of the American people don’t want him for their president anymore.

Still, in the face of overwhelming evidence and testimony, he will not admit that he lost. He admits that Biden is now president, but secretly, Trump believes, the election is a fraud. He will not put the word “loser” anywhere near to his name in speech or print. Why such obstinacy? He holds onto this view, not in a superficial pretense, but because he really believes it.

His losing as clearly as he did also tells us something very hopeful. Maybe, just maybe, with a free and responsible press and an engaged electorate, decency and sense really can win in a democracy. Maybe, like Hitler, Trump lost because he is just wrong. His way of seeing reality doesn’t match the way reality is. Maybe, democracy’s endless wrangling, in the end, is right. It does sort the con artists out from the sincere candidates, the neurotic out from the stable. In short, maybe DT lost the election because the majority saw him for what he is.  

I believe that history does move under an extremely subtle set of laws, but that set of laws, over the long term, favors freedom and pluralism. Democracy. It really is stronger, in the end, than bigoted totalitarianism and belligerent tribalism. It just takes a while for the laws of history to prove themselves.  

What Trump will try in the coming months remains to be seen; some of the possibilities are scary, I admit. Hitler took several elections to come to power in Germany. And it was only after a failed coup attempt that he decided to go the democratic route to power, for the time being, until he really could, as duly elected chancellor, get full control over the armed forces, the courts, the police, the writing of the country’s laws, and so on. Then he began to move forward with his terrible agenda. But I don't see that level of ambition or cynicism in Trump yet. During his time in office, he didn't try to take over the military or the economy. 

And in the end, Hitler did lose. My prediction, my hope, is that Trump has lost a lot of his power base, and with many of his former underlings now running for cover after his desperate attempt to use his supporters to overthrow the constitution of the US, his popularity is going to continue to shrink. If those things do come to pass, this will be evidence showing that decency and sense really can win out -- on the big scale of nations and the long haul of generations -- over cynicism and egotism.

There is still hope for our species.

In the shadow of the mushroom cloud, have a hopeful day.



                     



                                      U.S. president, Joe Biden (credit: Wikipedia) 

Tuesday, 9 February 2021

 

A Rough Analogy from History

 

                                                    US Senator Joe McCarthy 

                                        (credit: United Press, via Wikimedia Commons) 


A short post today, but I think it makes a point worthy of attention.

Almost always, if we look long enough, we can find examples in history to inform and enlighten us about what is going on in our own times. Consider, for example, the case of Senator Joseph McCarthy in the 1950s.

McCarthy was the chief “commie hunter” in the world in those times. By the 1950s, US intelligence services had proved beyond any reasonable doubt, that there had been, and very likely still were, agents spying for the USSR in practically every sector of American life. Though many of these agents were doing nothing more than promoting communist organizations in the US and other nations of the free world, a few really were stealing major secrets and selling them to the USSR. 

McCarthy and his followers used legitimate fears of real threats to whip up public paranoia. Ordinary citizens began to imagine that they were seeing “commies” everywhere. Even next door.

McCarthy's hearings led large sectors of the American public to believe that there were, for sure, commies all over the film industry, the entertainment industry, and the publishing industry. And, more dangerously, facilities where vital scientific research was going on. Some of these fears, I will reiterate, were based on facts. A prime example of this came from the Rosenbergs, who were found to have procured and sold the secrets of building an atomic bomb to the USSR. They were caught, accused, convicted, then executed (by electric chair) in 1953. The Rosenbergs were, by the way, not immigrants, but full blown, born and raised, Americans. 



                                        Ethel Rosenberg (credit: Wikimedia.org) 


But most of the accusations McCarthy was shouting about were groundless. Most of those he accused turned out to have never betrayed the US to a foreign power in any way. They had simply criticized some of their country's policies and gone to a few meetings. And let us not forget that criticizing policies with which one disagrees is a patriotic thing to do in a democracy. Democracy lives, grows, and evolves by dissent and compromise.

It is true that there were many in film, entertainment, literature, and other sectors of American life who had once belonged to Communist organizations, openly, right in the US. But belonging to a Communist party is not illegal now in the US, nor has it ever been so. In addition, in the 1930’s in particular, little was known about life inside the USSR. Stalin’s camps had not yet been anything more than rumored. 

Lots of very smart people were fooled for years by Communist propaganda into thinking that the Communist way of governance offered the big majority of citizens a better way to live. Why? Because, in the Depression era of the 1930s, there seemed to be only two options to associate oneself with if one was interested in politics. Hitler, Mussolini, Franco, and the other fascist leaders, on the one hand, or the USSR and all others who openly opposed fascism on the other. The fascists' aggressions against people within their own societies and against other nations were much better known than what Stalin was up to. For millions of people, the fascists were clearly dangerous, vicious men. The USSR seemed more enlightened, kinder. 

The West, in the meantime – America, Britain, France, etc. – seemed to want only to avoid having to confront the crimes of the fascist leaders. The USSR, the home of Communism in those times, was the hero that opposed the fascists. If you were a person who cared about decency and sense, you were moved by that fact and at least curious about what communism was and who the folk promoting it were. So you read books and magazines and went to meetings just to see what communism was about, never dreaming that all of this might be used against you 10 or 15 years down the road in the late 1940s and early 1950s.


          

                                               American entertainer and film star, Lena Horne (1946)  

                                                            (credit: Wikipedia) 


                       

                                                  Charlie Chaplin (film star, writer, and director)  

                                             (credit: Strauss-Peyton Studios, via Wikipedia)



The encouraging thing to notice in McCarthy's times and then apply to our times is that for a few years, Joe McCarthy wielded enormous power in the US. Accusations and innuendoes that came out of his Senate sub-committee hearings destroyed or severely damaged the careers of a significant number of prominent American figures. Dalton Trumbo (played by Brian Cranston in the recent movie about Trumbo’s life) had to work secretly under names other than his own for years because of McCarthy’s accusations. Lena Horne, Pete Seeger, Charlie Chaplin, Orson Welles, and many others had their careers seriously damaged by similar allegations arising from McCarthy’s sub-committee hearings. Writer Ernest Hemingway committed suicide. 

But McCarthy fell. 

His bullying, threatening tactics caused most of the US public to turn against him, largely because some of the Senate sub-committee hearings that he chaired, ones investigating supposed “commie sympathizers” in the US Army, were televised. The visual images finally showed the public, beyond all doubt, what a bully he really was. He ended up being censured by the US Senate, and he died shortly thereafter in 1957 at the age of 49.

Why is all this important now? Because the US has a dangerous bully in its politics now. And he has a lot of public support. But that support is shrinking. And the exact nature of his intentions and tactics is becoming clearer to the US public with every day that goes by.

Furthermore, like McCarthy, who was a Republican, Trump, the current bully is not synonymous with Republicanism. That party still has a platform, some parts of which still seem very sensible to many voters, in spite of the damage to American unity that Trump has done. Balanced budgets, smaller government, robust free markets, and a strong military all still make good sense to many Americans, despite their having acquired a profound distaste for Donald Trump, the man.  

My bet is that media coverage will eventually end this bully’s reign. Gradually, as more and more of the public see what he is, he’ll lose his base. 

In the thinning shadow of the mushroom cloud, nevertheless, have a great day.