Coronavirus
(credit: Wikimedia Commons)
Answering Postmodernism
In my last post, I broached the worldview called postmodernism. I disagree
with postmodernism for several reasons. Let’s consider a couple of them today.
In
the first obvious place, it is a philosophical position that is inconsistent
with itself. It leads to contradiction so blatant that one can safely assume
its premises must be flawed. If every view of the world or of truth is partial
and flawed, then why should I trust the views of any of the postmodernists? Thus, postmodernism can be written off in a single breath.
But
in the second, more important place, there is an alternative to postmodern
thinking, an alternative that makes better sense. It is called science.
It
is true, as the pomos say, that every person’s nurture/culture inclines him/her
toward ways of thinking and of expressing thought that are limited by that person's sets
of basic concepts and terms, ones that are familiar in their culture. I tend to think most
readily using ideas that I learned from my culture. So does everyone.
But
the discussion does not stop there. Admitting that we are channeled in our
thinking - we are limited, by the ways of thinking we acquire from our cultures - does not change the world. Reality is what it is. There may be many cultures
out there, many ways of life, but we all must live in what is.
The
easiest way to access the ways of thinking that are familiar in a culture is to
look at the language of the people of that culture. For example, Spanish has
two words – “ser” and “estar” – for the English verb “to be”. English has only “to
be” for expressing the same idea. Similarly, French contains two verbs for the
English verb “to know” – “savoir” and “connaitre”.
How
do such differences affect thinking? On the surface, we can surmise that they must affect thinking profoundly. Being and knowing are vital concepts. And these are very simple
examples. The ways in which people from different cultures think differently and,
as a result, can misunderstand each other, are often very complex.
But
reality is still reality. If any tribe’s culture leads that tribe’s members to live in ways too radically separated from physical reality, that way of thinking, that culture, will
die out because the people who adhere to it will die out. No matter the thinking limits instilled in me by my culture, reality is not defined by culture.
A
forest fire is real. I have evacuated as ordered. But yes, I worry my house is
going to burn down. It is rational for me to fear fire. No sequence of
thoughts in my brain is going to make that fire go out. People are going to
have to fight it physically, or alternatively, get out of its way and wait until it burns itself out.
My
people’s culture may contain some useful ideas about how to fight forest fires.
These may improve the odds of my people’s putting this fire out more quickly
than would be the case if we didn’t understand how to fight forest fires. But my culture, and my thinking with its
concepts will have no direct effect on the wall of flame bearing down on me. Not
even if I think till I sweat. The fire is what it is. We must fight it
physically or get out of its way or get burned up.
Whether
or not, during our hike, you have stepped on a nail and driven it into your
foot is not a matter of whether your culture has a word for “nail”. And yes,
actually, in that situation, I would urge you to get medical help quickly, even
if we had trouble communicating. If you would let me, I’d take you to a
hospital. Whether you will get tetanus is not a matter that depends on whether
there is a word for “nail” in my culture, your culture, or any other culture.
You need a tetanus shot now, or you run a large risk of dying in a horrible
way.
In
fact, it may be very useful and informative later for you and I to discuss what
the disease called “tetanus” is, what it is caused by, and what its effects
are. We may learn medical knowledge from each other. Your culture may know a
herb that grows in the bush nearby which can be used to ease pain. That herb
may really work. I may learn from you.
The herb might even ease your pain if you begin to suffer with tetanus. But we
should not leave that rusty nail wound untreated. If we are close to a hospital,
you need not endure the symptoms of tetanus. In reality, we should take action
right now to save you from pain and, likely, death.
A culture is just a set of ideas, customs, and concepts, that a tribe use to
understand the physical world and to direct their actions in that world. Over generations, it can become enormously complex. A human tribe can develop whole sets of ideas and behaviors that ease the tribe's interfacing with physical
reality and with each other.
But
the nail and the fire are real whether anyone sees them or not.
Covid
was, and is, not a matter of one’s culture or the judgements one forms as one
thinks with terms that are familiar in one’s culture. It’s a virus. If I get
it, it will not delay its action to suit whether or not my culture has a word
for it.
The
same is true of thousands of other matters. Global warming is not going to halt
its effects on my homeland because my culture does not have a word for it.
My
perceptions in any of the situations above are not guaranteed true. Nor are
the measures recommended by the sciences of my Western culture one hundred
percent guaranteed effective. Science does not say that. But I do know that in
every one of those situations, I can envision several different ways in which I
might respond, and I can estimate the odds of effectiveness for each of the
alternative courses of action I could take. Then, I can do my best to act
rationally. Pick and follow the response most likely to bring me success. Bet
on the plans which I believe offer the best odds of guarding the lives of myself
and my loved ones.
One possible plan is that I
could refuse to do anything about whatever is happening. Postmodernism may
have convinced me that it is all an illusion anyway.
I
could choose to hide in my house, against the evacuation order from the local
police. I have a garden hose, that I hope will still be getting water pressure,
with which to fight the fire on my own if it does come my way. A garden hose
against flames varying from 60 to 200 feet high, hot enough to melt tires on
deserted cars. But fighting it myself is a possible course of action.
I
could choose not to get vaccinated for Covid, in spite of the experts’
warnings.
But
I am a man who tends to listen to science. I’m not a fire fighter. I’m not a
virologist or an epidemiologist. I’ve read experts’ views on websites online and
in newspapers and magazines. They seem more sensible to me than the alternative
explanations offered by some of their critics. I estimate the odds of which expert
is most likely to be accurately describing reality. I bet on what I believe are
my best horses. Mostly, I follow experts’ advice. I read up on several analyses
for every decision I have to make. But then, I go with the ones that make
sense.
In
short, for every matter, we have alternatives. We aren’t stuck with a single
option that may be flawed or purposely distorted by people looking to exploit us.
Most of all, we have choices, not all of which are equally rational.
At
worst, I can always opt out of any mess by killing myself. Camus says staying alive
takes more character than dying, once you see that suicide is an option.
Any
of my beliefs could be misperceptions or misconceptions acquired from my
culture. But that never means I have no alternatives. I always have
alternatives, each with its own odds, as calculated by me, of leading to good
results. What the nihilists, existentialists, deconstructionists, and
postmodernists don’t seem to get is that the alternative worldview, which is a
real alternative to their doubting is the profound worldview called science.
Science
does not claim to see ultimate truths about any subject. It only claims to
offer us a method by which we can see more and more alternate explanations and options
for action for every situation we may face in the physical world. It shows us
how to keep fine tuning our policies and actions to get better and better
results, for more people, more of the time.
Science
answers the cynical, impotent view recommended by Postmodernism and its
adherents simply by saying: “Your policy is not rational.” Total cynicism isn’t
necessarily, logically wrong. For science, it’s just irrational.
We
have choices. They are never all of equal likelihood of success. To not exert
ourselves to choose rationally among them contradicts the very roots of life.
Yes, life is often confusing, dangerous, and painful. No, that does not
mean I should give up. I have choices.
Science
uses a whole set of criteria to judge the likelihood of any model/theory.
Can
it be tested in the real, objectively observable world that all rational people
accept is around us all the time? If it can’t, it isn’t science.
Are
there people studying this phenomenon systematically? What theories or models
have they proposed? What research has been done on each of these theories? Have
the studies been published in reputable journals with records of being accurate
in the past? Have the articles been peer-reviewed? What does the latest
research indicate is the most probable theory? What course of action is the
most rational one for me to take once I have answered these questions?
In every situation, I estimate
odds. Decide whether I should act. If so, in what way.
I
can choose to be one of the ones who proposes and researches any way of viewing and
understanding any phenomenon whatsoever. Postmodernism may be able to prove that no humanly constructed idea about anything is logically unassailable and therefore, perfectly
reliably true. But I don’t need perfect truth in order to act. Only
alternatives among which to choose.
There
is nothing new here. We have been considering alternative views of reality and
trying to design our actions to give ourselves and our kids the best chances of
survival and health and flourishing for at least a million years. Science just makes
the process by which we make choices more systematic.
With
it, we don’t have certainties, but we are not left with a skepticism that ends
in mental and physical paralysis. We have options, each of which has odds. We strive to keep
learning more about them because we want to act with better and better probabilities of
surviving. This is enough. We don’t need any more justification for dumping
postmodernism.
Postmodernism
steers and commends us to confusion, error, and futility. To choose any of
those is irrational.
It’s
true that we can learn from studying all of the world’s cultures, especially
the ones different from our own. Recent experience has shown us that there are
sometimes good scientific reasons for other nations’ beliefs and customs. For
their eating the foods that they do, their not killing certain animals, etc.
Kimchi contains probiotics that are very good for digestion in all humans.
Impetigo can be cured by careful cleaning of lesions, then exposing them to
direct sunshine. Over the long haul of generations, cows are more valuable as draft animals and sources of milk
and dung than as sources of beef. These morés from non-Western cultures have
all been studied by Western science and have all been given scientific
explanations.
Study
of practices common in other cultures is done by scientists not because the
postmodernists recommend, decry, or forbid it. It’s done because such study has
proved useful.
I
estimate odds. Every day. My ancestors have done so for thousands of years.
I
can learn, grow, and benefit from carefully examining the traditional morés,
customs, and worldviews of other cultures. But always, I ask: what does the
evidence say? What looks to be the action plan with the best survival odds?
This
way of handling life by estimating the success odds of various explanations for
events and then acting on my estimates is called Bayesianism. It is the way of
science. All science does is make our estimating more systematic and efficient.
So
let’s close by mentioning the alternative right and their dizzy theories. For most
theories offered by the alt right to explain events in today’s world, the odds are
not impossible. Just very unlikely. The odds
that Hilary Clinton is running a child porn ring out of a pizza parlor
in New Jersey can’t be proven absolutely to be zero, but in my best
estimation, they are one out of a bigger number than I can write.
That
kind of thinking is closely associated, in my view, with the kind of thinking
that “knows” a worldwide conspiracy of colored people is aiming to wipe out all
Caucasians. Or that the 5000 wildfires that have occurred in Canada this year
were set by government agents. Or that there is a secret New World Order
manipulating most of the governments of the nations of the world. What are the
odds that any conspiracy of the size that would be needed to perpetrate such
plots could be kept secret? Thousands of people would be required and no one has spilled the beans?!!
Have
a decent day, in spite of - or maybe, because of - what the meteorologists are
saying in your neck of the woods today. And keep reminding yourself: science is a way of sizing up the odds of the truth of propositions. It has won a lot of respect in our world because as
an idea about how to view other ideas, it has so often worked. Gotten good results. Even when it has come to weak conclusions and made bad recommendations, it has corrected itself ...with better science.
Signed,
a guy who didn’t die
of smallpox, polio, or any of at least a dozen other diseases
Thomas Bayes (creator of Bayesianism)
(credit: Wikimedia Commons)